Outline of My Third Oral Presentation

Road Fatalities

This is a presentation of Reference #7, A View of Global Road Accident Fatalities

By G. D. Jacobs and Amy Aeron-Thomas

www.transport-links.org/transport_links/filearea/publications/1_771_Pa3568.pdf

By: Malia Tarayao

 

Instructions for this Oral Presentation are found at:

www.soc.hawaii.edu/leonj/leonj/leonpsy22/g22-oral.htm

 

Concept One:  Under-reporting Fatalities

a.        When there are fatalities in road accidents, not all of them are reported. 

á          The under-reporting is minimal in developed countries (between 2-5%)

á          In developing countries under-reporting was much higher (between 25-50%)

b.       My OpinionÉ

á          I chose this topic because I was unaware that under-reporting was even an issue. 

á          What was most noticeable to me was how much this went on.

á          Initially I was very surprised that this was happening so much.  I donŐt really see why police wouldnŐt be reporting these fatalities or how they can be getting away with it or what good it does for them. 

c.        Example

á          In the Philippines, only one out of five reported road deaths are in police statistics.

á          In Indonesia, insurance companies report almost 40% more deaths than police.

á          In Taiwan, the Department of Health reported 130% more deaths than the police in 1995.

 

 

Concept Two:  Fatality Forecasts

a.        The prediction of how many fatalities there will be from road accidents in the future.

á          It is very hard to predict this because there are variables that can effect things.

b.       My OpinionÉ

á          I chose this concept because I thought it was interesting to see what people are predicting for the future of fatalities.

á          What I found most striking was their prediction: In 2010 the likely range of global road deaths will be between 900,000 and 1.1 million and between 1 million and 1.3 million in 2020.

á          My reaction was surprise because I had no idea that the number was that high.

á          I donŐt know if I agree with their predictions.  Hopefully they will be wrong and the numbers will decrease in time.

c.        Example

á          It is hard to be able to predict the trends because things change. For example, In Japan in the 1960Ős there was a huge deterioration in road safety and fatalities went up.  Then the numbers decreased almost 50% in the next 10 years.  Then the number of fatalities went up again in the 80Ős.

 

Concept Three:  Economic Costs of Road Accidents

a.        Not only should we try and reduce road accidents for obvious reasons like the loss of life and the humanitarian aspects, but road accidents are hard economically as well. 

b.       My OpinionÉ

á          I chose this concept because I think it would be a good idea to spend some of the money on trying to prevent road accidents so the cost would eventually go down.

á          What was most interesting to me was that it has been estimated that road accidents cost an average of 1% of a countries gross national product.  And it goes up in the developed countries to 1-3% for accident road costs.

á          I guess I was surprised because I didnŐt realize how much accidents cost on average.  It seems like a lot. 

c.        Example

á          Even if money has to be spent ahead of time and you may not see results right away or the benefits of the money spent, it would be a smart thing to spend money on because there will be great benefits in the future.  Not only will it save money in the long run, but also it will save lives.

 

 My Home Page:            www.soc.hawaii.edu/leonj/409as2005/tarayao/home.htm

Additional Links:            http://www.atsb.gov.au/road/stats/current.cfm

                                                      http://www.safecarguide.com/exp/statistics/statistics.htm

                                                      http://www.aaa.asn.au/pages/road%20safety%202003.htm