Dietary Fat and Breast Cancer
Tracy Marie Leilani Nalaielua
Dr. Leon James
Psychology 210: Statistics
June 22, 1994
TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION: RELATIONSHIP OF DIETARY FAT TO DISEASES
PERSONAL VIEWPOINTS
EPIDEMIOLOGIC STUDIES
RESEARCH DESIGN: COHORT STUDIES
PROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY: NURSES' HEALTH STUDY
ANALYZING THE RESEARCH DESIGN
RESEARCH DESIGN: CASE-CONTROL STUDIES
CASE-CONTROL STUDY: BREAST CANCER PATIENTS AMONG NURSES' HEALTH
STUDY PARTICIPANTS AND THEIR CONTROLS
CONCLUSIONS ON THE CASE-CONTROL STUDY
CASE-CONTROL STUDY AMONG JAPANESE WOMEN
CONCLUSIONS ON THE JAPANESE WOMEN'S STUDY
CASE CONTROL STUDY: WOMEN WITH A HISTORY OF BREAST TUMORS
CONCLUSIONS BASED ON THE STUDY IN SCIENCE NEWS MAGAZINE
RESEARCH DESIGN: MAGAZINE ARTICLES
STRUCTURE OF LAY PUBLICATIONS
MS MAGAZINE: NO STATISTICAL DATA PROVIDED
PERSONAL VIEWPOINTS: STRUCTURE OF MAGAZINE ARTICLES
DEFINITIONS
REPRESENTATIVE SAMPLING: NURSESÕ HEALTH STUDY
REPRESENTATIVE SAMPLE: JAPANESE WOMEN'S STUDY
REPRESENTATIVE SAMPLE: STUDY OF WOMEN WITH MALIGNANT BREAST
TUMORS
PURPOSE OF SAMPLING
VALIDITY OF MEASURES: INCIDENCE AND MORTALITY RATES
VALIDITY OF MEASURES: FOOD CONSUMPTION
VALIDITY OF MEASURES FOR THE TOTAL POPULATION
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
PROSPECTIVE AND RETROSPECTIVE ANALYSIS
ADEQUACY OF THE CONTROLS
OVERALL CONCLUSIONS
LIBRARY RESEARCH
REFERENCE LIST
APPENDIX A: References I found useful
The statistics are alarming. One out of eight women will develop breast
cancer.
As the incidence of breast cancer grows every year, so does the interest on
whether a high fat diet is linked somehow to breast cancer.
A high fat intake has been associated with diseases such as cardiovascular
disease, diabetes, and colon cancer. But the debate continues about whether
this holds true for breast cancer. The few studies conducted have been
conflicting. Several reports show no correlation between eating a high fat
diet in
the development and progression of breast cancer, while other studies say there
is a correlation, although very moderate.
I chose this topic because as a woman eating a high fat diet, I wanted to know
what the risks were of contracting this disease. From the journals and
magazine
articles that I have researched, I found no definite correlation between a
high fat
diet and breast cancer due to research design, sampling procedures,
validity of
measures, types of analysis, and the adequacy of the controls.
There are three types of epidemiologic studies that have provided evidence on
an association between fat intake and breast cancer. For the purpose of this
paper and the research that I have found, only two out of the three
epidemiologic studies will be discussed.
ÒThe first type of epidemiologic evidence comes from cohort studies in which
diets measured at baseline are compared with subsequent risk of breast cancer
in a large group of women.Ó (Howe, 1992, 2080) The NursesÕ Health Study
is a
model of this type of research design.
To test the hypothesis that dietary fat increases the risk of breast
cancer, a
prospective cohort study using a self-administered food frequency questionnaire
was conducted. The participants included 89,494 nurses who were 34 through 59
years of age in 1980 and were followed up for 8 years. (Williett, Hunter,
Stampfer,
Colditz, Manson, Spiegelman, Rosner, Hennekens, and Speizer, 1992, 2037) This
study demonstrates the complete lack of any positive correlation between fat
intake and breast cancer.
Before accepting the results of this study found in the
Journal of the American Medical Association
, I first have to question how this research was designed. I found it possible
contained both selection and recall bias. I think they chose the wrong
subjects to
conduct this study because nurses are knowledgeable health professionals that
have the necessary tools to modify their diet to prevent breast cancer or to
modify their diet just long enough for this study to be completed. If the
researchers wanted to test their theory, the subjects chosen should have been
women with high fat diets only and avoid those who are in the health
professions.
I also feel that a questionnaire is not a reliable method to base a study
on.
Subjects can easily withhold information or modify what they write. But I also
realize that the researchers cannot be with the participants 24 hours a day and
so this method is the most cost effective while sacrificing some
credibility in its
findings.
ÒThe second group of epidemiological studies consists of case-control
studies in
which pre-diagnosis diets of women with breast cancer, ascertained following
diagnosis, are compared with diets of women without breast cancer.Ó (Howe,
1992, 2080) To compare prospective and retrospective data, a case-control
study of breast cancer among NursesÕ Health Study participants was conducted
and its findings written in the
American Journal of Epidemiology
.
Among those who completed the food frequency questionnaire and were free
of cancer in 1986, 398 were diagnosed with breast cancer during two years of
follow-up. These cases were matched with 798 age-matched controls.
(Giovannucci, Stampfer, Colditz, Manson, Rosner, Lognecker, Speizer, and
Willett,
1993, 502) When another food frequency questionnaire was sent to the subjects
in this study in 1989 inquiring about their diet in 1985, 300 cases and 602
controls
responded.
ÒThe age-adjusted analysis using the prospective (1986) questionnaire
demonstrated no appreciable associations between breast cancer incidence
and intakes of total fat. The age-adjusted analysis using the
retrospective (1989)
questionnaire suggested positive associations between breast cancer and
intakes of fat.Ó (Giovannucci, 1993, 502: et. al.) These results suggest
that there
are biased associations in case-control studies between total fat intake
and risk
of breast cancer. The biases in this research design are similar to that
in the
NursesÕ Health Study that I mentioned before. The only exception is that this
research design contains a greater percentage of recall bias because
participants in 1989 had to remember what their diets were in 1985.
In a second case-control study, 212 Japanese women with breast cancer were
interviewed one to three months after surgical operation for breast cancer.
Information was obtained about their reproductive histories, dietary
histories, and
socioeconomic status. The interview consisted of item by item recall in a
typical
week before the onset of the disease. Clinical information was obtained
through
medical records for each patient as well. The patients were followed up 5
and 10
years after the initial start of the study. The investigation showed no
support for
the hypothesis that a high fat diet is a survival determinant for breast cancer
patients.
As with the previous reports, the investigation had selection bias in choosing
Japanese women who have low fat diets as compared with American women
with higher fat intakes. To test the theory that a high fat diet is
related to the
patientsÕ prognosis of breast cancer, a society with a high fat intake
should have
been selected.
In a third study written in
Science News
magazine, 220 women who had surgery to remove a malignant tumor were
studied. They were interviewed by a nutritionist about their diet one year
prior to
diagnosis. All were followed for at least four years.
'A statistical analysis revealed that fat intake did influence the outcome
of breast
cancer treatment, but only in women who had tumors with lots of estrogen
receptors.' (Fackelmann, 1993, 23) The research design for this study,
like other
studies, contained recall bias, but I think the proper group was selected.
In three out of the five magazine articles that I have found, they all
relate to the
Nurses' Health Study. Little or no information was given on how the study was
designed and what sampling procedures were used.
Magazine articles are organized in such a manner that they are supposed to be
easy to read for the average individual. In the process of doing this,
valuable
information is lost and the consumer is left only with the opinion of the
author.
In a fourth magazine article in
Ms.
magazine, the author tells us there is a link between fat intake and breast
cancer
without studies or statistical data. (National WomensÕ health Network,
1993, 47)
The article proceeds by telling the consumer what dink of diet is conducive in
preventing breast cancer.
Most people believe what they read. That is why it is so important to
think critically
as we read and not to accept everything as the truth. I feel if the
magazines (for
simplistic reasons) fail to mention important studies or statistical data,
they should
at least provide references where we can research the information for ourselves
if we are interested in the subject.
The magazine articles that I have just mentioned with the exception of
Science News
magazine, will no longer be discussed throughout the rest of this paper because
they either refer to the journal articles such as the NursesÕ Health Study
or contain
no studies at all.
As defined by Russell T. Hurlburt, author of
Comprehending Behavioral Statistics
, a random sample is a sample chosen so that each member of a population has
an equal chance of being included in the sample. A representative sample
is a
sample of a population that reflects that characteristics of the parent
population.
In the NursesÕ Health Study and the case-control study conducted on several
members from the nursesÕ study, there was no mentioning on the sampling
procedure. But from reading the journal articles, I would assume that the
nurses
are a representative sample because they were specifically chosen to represent
the population of women. As in a random sample, chance did not play a
role. All
the subjects chosen were nurses from eleven states.
The study of Japanese women, written in the
International Journal of Nutrition and Cancer
, was also a representative sample. They represent the population of women
who underwent surgical operation for breast cancer. The 212 women were
specifically chosen with these characteristics so that the case-control
study could
test its hypothesis.
The investigative report in
Science News
magazine was a representative sample as well. The 220 women studied all had
surgery to remove a malignant breast tumor. They were chosen for the same
characteristics as the Japanese womenÕs study.
The overall purpose of sampling is to estimate the population value. But
sometimes, as I feel in the case of the NursesÕ Health Study, the sample
population does not truly represent the total population of women because of
their health profession. That is why when any research is being conducted,
extreme care must be taken so that bias does not creep into the selection
procedure.
The validity of the measures is extremely important when accepting a
positive or
negative correlation. Due to international differences of incidence and
mortality
rates in breast cancer, it is very difficult to generalize the study, for
example on
Japanese women, to the population of women in the world, particularly in the
United States. Japanese women have a greater survival rate possible due to the
extent or spread of the disease or the kinds of therapy used. Thus, factors
influencing the occurrence of breast cancer might also affect the course of the
disease. (Kyogoku, Hirohata, Nomura, Shigematsu, Takeshita, and Hirohata, 1992,
272)
There are also international studies on food consumption. Japanese people
consume about 23% of calories as fat. (Kyogoku 1992, 275; et al.) On the
other
hand, Americans consume about 36% of calories as fat. (Napier 1993, 91)
Nutritionists recommend restricting fat to 30%. This wide range between
Japanese and American societies proves that a study may be valid for one
country but may not hold valid for another.
Besides a study being valid on an international level, the study needs to
be valid
for the population in questions. Research design, sampling procedure,
statistical
analysis, and the adequacy of the controls are all important measures proving
the validity of the research.
I have already discussed research design and sampling procedure. Next, I will
discuss types of analysis. The types of analysis conducted on studies may vary
greatly. Statistical analysis are figures used to describe the findings of
a sample
population. For example, the mean intake of fat may be used to describe the
average amount of saturated, monosaturated, or polysaturated fat consumed.
Statistical analysis can be extremely confusing to understand especially
for the
average individual.
Another type of analysis is prospective and retrospective analysis.
Statistics are
also incorporated but a prospective analysis deals mainly with the
situation at
hand. An example would be a study conducted on the NursesÕ Health Study of
women who were diagnosed with breast cancer. They were given a
prospective analysis in 1986 of their diet in that year. A retrospective
analysis
would be another food frequency questionnaire given to this sample and having
them recall their dietary habits four years ago. the retrospective
analysis is
subject to greater recall bias than the prospective analysis.
Finally, the adequacy of the controls, can also determine any correlation
between a high fat intake and breast cancer. Sometimes it is difficult to
link the
two because of an external factor. In the study of 220 women who had surgery
to remove a malignant breast tumor, a boost in the concentrations of
estrogen in
the blood may be the true cause of breast cancer versus a high fat intake
only.
However, high fat diets may boost these concentrations. So it is not
adequate to
say that dietary fat leads to breast cancer.
Other measures must be controlled as well. The control group should match the
sample population as much as possible (age, height, weight, sex...) in
order to
receive more accurate measurements. As mentioned before, the construction
of the research must be carefully examined before conducting the
experiment.
This includes the areas I have already discussed: research design, sampling
procedure, validity of measures, types of analysis, and adequacy of the
controls.
The debate between those who believe a high dietary fat intake is associated
with breast cancer and those who believe there is no correlation will likely
continue. The studies conducted are inconclusive and more research needs to
be done. However, the general consensus in the journals and magazine articles
suggest limiting the amount of fat because of the high risk of getting other
diseases such as cardiovascular disease and colon cancer.
My search for a topic began in Hamilton Library. I researched for possible
topics
in the
Reader's Guide to Periodical Literature
. After much elimination, I decided on the topic of dietary fat and breast
cancer.
I found five current magazine articles on high fat intake and breast
cancer. I
then decided that I would find these articles and check if it was pertinent
to my
topic. It took me a few hours from the time I started to find all the
articles. But
once I found all five magazine articles, it was well worth the time spent
because
they were very useful to my topic.
Since I was already at the library, I decided to do more research. All the
CD ROM
terminals were in use, so I went to one of the many computer terminals and
researched in UnCover and ERIC. There I found two journal articles that would
assist with the controversy between a high fat diet and breast cancer. Both
journals were found on the third floor. After making xerox copies, I
returned to my
home and began reading all the articles.
Once I had everything, I realized that I needed to find more information
because
three out of the five articles referred to this one study that I did not have.
About two weeks after my initial visit to Hamilton Library, I returned to
hopefully
find more journal articles and to find the study that three out of the five
magazines
referred to. Once again I researched in UnCover and ERIC. This time,
though, I
knew exactly what I wanted and needed. I not only found the study that I
wanted, but I also found another journal article that dealt with the
controversy.
As my research concluded, I found a total of five magazine and four journal
articles on the controversy between a high fat diet and the possible link
to breast
cancer.
Fackelmann, K. A. 1993. Dietary fat predicts breast cancer rouse. Science
News, 9 January, 23.
Giovannucci, Edward, Meir J. Stampfer, Graham A. Colditz, JoAnn E. Manson,
Bernard A. Rosner, Matt Lognecker, Frank E. Speizer and Walter C. Willett.
1993.
A comparison of prospective and retrospective assessments of diet in the study
of breast cancer. American Journal of epidemiology 137 (March):512-
510.
Howe, Geoffrey R. 1992. High fat diets and breast cancer risk: The
epidemiologic evidence. Journal of the American Medical Association
268 (October):2080-2081.
Kyogoku, Shinji, Tomio Hirohata, Yasuo Nomura, Takao Shigematsu, Setsuko
Takeshita and Itsuyo Hirohata. 1992. Diet and prognosis of breast cancer.
International Journal of Nutrition and Cancer 17 (January):271-276.
Napier, Kristine. 1993. Fat and breast cancer. American Health
March, 91.
National Women's Health Network. 1993. The diet that may save your life.
Ms., May/June, 47-51.
Willett, Walter C., David J. Hunter, Meir J. Stampfer, Graham Colditz,
JoAnn E.
Manson, Donna Spielgelmann, Bernard Rosner, Charles H. Hennekens and Frank E.
Speizer. 1992. Dietary fat and fiber in relation to risk of breast
cancer: An 8-year
follow-up. Journal of the American Medical Association 268
(October):2037-2043.
Fackelmann, K. A. "Dietary Fat: No Link to Breast Cancer." Science
News, 24 October 1992, 276.
"Relax, Mrs. Sprat: High-Fat, Low-Fiber Diets May Not Cause Breast
Cancer After All." Time, 2 November 1992, 23.
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